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If you have not read our guy Dylan Wilkerson's blog pick for tonight's game, go ahead, and read it. If you did not watch the podcast this week, here is a brief preview of what we discussed.
As you can see from the TikTok, I am leaning toward USC and over 67. But everybody and their grandma are on the Trojans. Even former guest on the KarterKast @BookitWithTrent has 10 units on USC ML.
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The Utes are coming into this game with nothing to lose. The pressure is solely on USC to win this game and get into their first College Football Playoff. Utah has already shown this season they can beat the Trojans. Utah's defense seems to be coming together, only giving up 21 points or fewer since facing USC in October. Utah is the more disciplined side, giving up fewer penalty yards, and Utah is always a tough out. Plus, (maybe the most significant point) the public is so heavy on Utah. The sportsbooks are desperate for Utah to win this game, and fading the public typically leaves you on the right side of history.
If you're desperate for more convincing on Utah, read Dylan's article right here.
It's hard to argue against taking the Trojans. Yes, Utah beat them already this season, but it's hard to beat a team twice in football. The Trojans are riding high right now after defeating Notre Dame and solidifying themselves as being one game away from booking their spot in the College Football Playoff. Caleb Williams has all but locked up the Heisman, they are scoring an absurd amount of points, and they feel like a team of destiny. Besides the Oregon State game, they have scored 30 or more points in every game this year. This Utah defense is very overrated. In the games, they have faced a decent quarterback (besides Oregon when Bo Nix was at 50%). They gave up 29 to Anthony Richardson at Florida and 42 against UCLA and USC. In these games, Utah has kept teams below 21 points; they have been facing the bottom feeders of the PAC-12.
I see some value in the prop bets for tonight's matchup. Sharps are all over the under in this game, and 67.5 is a lot of points with inadequate defenses. I lean the over but follow me on Twitter @karterb8 if I make it an official play. I physically cannot take Utah because everything tells me they will not win, but I cannot take USC due to it being so public. So, what do we do? We live bet.
Utah is going to land the first punch tonight. It will be a Dalton Kincaid touchdown to start things off. Dalton Kincaid first and anytime touchdown is my favorite play tonight (shoutout to young Grant). Utah might even go up double digits, which is when we hit USC. This game will come down to a weird two-point conversion/field goal to decide the spread and the game. USC has started games slowly this year and can come back versus anyone with the remarkable talent they have. USC will win this game by a funky score, like 32-30 or 42-39.
